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Inside the Markets - Japan Edition (October 2025): Calm Waters, Hidden Currents

24 Oct 2025

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This Tokyo edition of Inside the Markets from GMS Podcasts explores how Japanese shipowners are managing a calm but strategic recycling environment under the newly enforced Hong Kong Convention.
Host Jamie Dalzell, Head of GMS Singapore Office, speaks with Amit Malhotra, Head of GMS Japan Office, about the country’s continued focus on compliance, foresight, and sustainable operations amid a quieter global recycling market.

Key Market Developments

Market Pulse:
Japan’s recycling activity remains limited while freight earnings stay firm.

  • Steel prices in the high USD 300s, with India below USD 400 per ton and Bangladesh around USD 420 per ton

  • Buyers across South Asia remain cautious due to currency volatility

  • Japanese owners continue trading longer amid stable freight conditions

Owner Strategy:

  • Priority on compliance and safety rather than short-term pricing

  • Long-term planning and disciplined decision-making remain key

  • GMS provides tailored solutions that combine commercial and technical expertise

Compliance and the Hong Kong Convention

  • Japanese owners increasing participation in GMS’s Sustainable Ship and Offshore Recycling Program (SSORP)

  • Growing demand for IHM Parts I, II, and III to ensure readiness for future regulation

  • GMS recognized as both a cash buyer and technical partner in sustainable recycling

Recycling Outlook

  • Steam turbine LNG carriers remain likely candidates for recycling into early 2026

  • Broader recycling activity expected to stay limited through late 2025

  • SSORP and IHM adoption expected to rise steadily across Japanese owners

Outlook and Risks

  • Freight markets stable but vulnerable to global corrections

  • Owners expected to prioritize trading through year-end

  • Compliance preparation continues to strengthen Japan’s position ahead of future regulatory shifts

From Tokyo to the subcontinent, Japan’s message for October 2025 is clear: trade smartly today, recycle responsibly tomorrow.